Pew Hispanic Center On White Inreach

For quite a few years now, VDARE has been providing the most calm and sophisticated analysis of the electoral impact of immigration. Our position has been that immigration poses a massive problem for the GOP in the long run, but the long run hasn't arrived quite yet, so there's still time to do something about it. We've also speculated that Karl Rove's vaunted Hispanic outreach campaign is largely a smokescreen to distract the media from the Strategy that Dare Not Speak Its Name: white inreach.

Now, the liberal Pew Hispanic Center has confirmed much of what we've been saying for years. Back in May, I reported, based on Census Bureau survey data:

"Whites provided almost ten times as many incremental Bush votes as the next most important ethnic contributor to his growth, Hispanics, at 0.97 million extra votes."

In late June, the Pew Hispanic Center's new report on "Hispanics and the 2004 Election" began:

"Hispanics accounted for half of the population growth in the United States between the elections of 2000 and 2004 but only one-tenth of the increase in the total votes cast, according to a Pew Hispanic Center analysis of new data from the U.S. Census Bureau."

Pew's analysis makes the important point that:

"The gap between the size of the Latino adult population and the number of Hispanic voters has been growing since at least 1972 and is likely to continue growing given current trends