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Turmoil Over War, Immigration Threatens The Alternative Right
When an Establishment conservative like Mitt Romney wins the CPAC straw poll, it is an opening salvo in the fight for the Republican presidential nomination. But when Ron Paul wins, well, there is nothing to see here.
"Be careful not to read too much—or much at all—into these results," warned the Washington Post's Chris Cillizza. "Paul's supporters are loyal and loud but not, ultimately, that large a group as proven by the fact that he did not win a single primary or caucus in 2008."
The Christian Science Monitor recounted this bit of snark from the blog Little Green Footballs: "There's never been a poll Ron Paul couldn't win, unless you count a presidential primary race."[CPAC: Ron Paul wins CPAC straw poll - ends Romney's CPAC domination, By Jimmy Orr, February 20, 2010]
It's true: straw polls are unscientific. Paul's victory doesn't mean he'll be taking the oath of office come January 20, 2013 anymore than Romney's three consecutive CPAC triumphs translated into him winning the presidency—or even the Republican nomination.
But straw polls do test organizational strength and grassroots enthusiasm. CPAC, as its organizers like to point out, the nation's largest gathering of conservative activists. It says something that Ron Paul was able to attract substantially more support than Sarah Palin, Mike Pence, Newt Gingrich, and a slew of other Beltway right favorites. It may not portend much for the 2012 primaries, but it does show where the youthful intensity and enthusiasm lie.
Paul's first-place showing wasn't
the only sign that what some are calling the
"Alternative Right" is coming into its own.
Paul-inspired organizations like the
Campaign for Liberty are displaying increasing
professionalism and effectiveness. The movement is even
shedding its cult of personality aspect, developing
other respected leaders alongside Ron Paul. At this
point,
Paul's son Rand has to be favored to win the
Republican senatorial nomination in
The Paulites' relationship with
mainstream conservatives—who remain enamored of the
All of this is good news in a political culture where positive stories are hard to come by.
But as conservatives are fond of saying, ideas have consequences. The ideas that animate the movement started by Ron Paul are mostly libertarian. One of the consequences is that patriotic immigration reform may not be as salient to a Paulian alternative right.
Pat Buchanan launched three presidential bids in which he championed three broadly paleoconservative causes: a restrained post-Cold War foreign policy; an approach to trade that was skeptical of the benefits of a hyperglobalized economy; and patriotic immigration reform. Buchananite ideas, his supporters hoped and his critics feared, had the potential to appeal to many more people than the 3 million who cast ballots for Buchanan during his most successful presidential campaign.
After the disappointment of Buchanan's Reform Party bid, the Buchanan brigades were to live on in the pages of older publications like Chronicles and such new ones as The American Conservative (for which I worked for nearly three years).
Even during the heady days of the Buchanan campaign, there were harbingers of a possible split between non-interventionists and immigration restrictionists. The libertarians involved in the paleo "New Fusionist" bargain originally invented by the much-missed Murray Rothbard began to have qualms about supporting a presidential candidate who opposed free trade and advocated economic nationalism. Before his death in 1995, Rothbard worried that Buchanan's trade views were pushing him in a more statist direction.
But once paleos had for the most part quit the political scene—there was no obvious successor to Buchanan—for intellectual enterprises, the split seemed to subside. Reports of contentious John Randolph Club meetings notwithstanding, paleocons and paleolibertarians were publishing together in The American Conservative during the run-up to the Iraq war.
Ron Paul brought paleos back into politics again. The Good Doctor's position on immigration isn't perfect but it isn't bad (the same is true of his son Rand). In fact, Paul's immigration views during the 2008 primaries were more sensible and durable than most of the GOP frontrunners. He is a believer in sovereignty and borders. Nevertheless, the National Question does not move him much and immigration was far less important to Paul's campaign than Buchanan's.
Consequently, under Paul's would-be successors things could get rather worse. Former New Mexico Gov. Gary Johnson is talked about as a possible Paulite candidate in the 2012 primaries. His frugal record as governor and his constitutionalist platform today are remarkable. But his position on immigration is dreadful.
Johnson's "OUR America Initiative" includes expanding legal immigration on its "Three Point Plan" for national prosperity. In 2000, Johnson gave an interview to Playboy in which he promiscuously uttered almost every immigration enthusiast canard:
PLAYBOY: As
governor of a
border state, what is your view of the immigration
issue?
JOHNSON: I don't
think Easterners recognize that the Hispanics who
immigrate are
great people, great
citizens. They care about their families like other
Americans care about their families. They're living in
poverty in Mexico and can come to the
PLAYBOY:
By–according to some–taking away jobs.
JOHNSON: They work
the
lowest-paying jobs, which is a huge step up from
where they come from. And they are taking jobs that
other Americans don't necessarily want. They're
hardworking people who are taking jobs that others don't
want. That's the reality.
PLAYBOY: Would you
open
the borders and make it easier to immigrate legally?
JOHNSON: My vision
of the border with
PLAYBOY: In
JOHNSON: It
wouldn't be a problem if they were legal, so the process
to make them legal should be easier.
PLAYBOY: Many
Americans fear the flood of immigrants that would
follow.
JOHNSON: Again,
they would come over and take jobs that we don't want.
They would become taxpayers. They're just pursuing
dreams—the same dreams we all have. They work hard.
What's wrong with that?
"Yes, we should have open borders." If this were an idiosyncrasy of Johnson's, it wouldn't matter much. One could easily justify a protest vote for an antiwar Republican while disagreeing on other important issues. But what if Johnson's immigration expansionism catches on?
At a Campaign for Liberty roundtable discussion on the war on terror at CPAC, panelist Jacob Hornberger proposed an alternative to a foreign policy based on regime change: allowing all victims of tyranny to flee their oppressive home countries and come to the United States. If the mostly young audience objected, it didn't show in the raucous applause that followed Hornberger's immigration line. (By contrast, the crowd was clearly divided when another panelist called America a "secular republic" and said religion had no place in politics).
To be sure, a Ron Paul libertarian is far less likely to support open borders than most other self-described libertarians. And the Paul movement has been good for exposing young people to authentic conservatism, including arguments for immigration restriction.
But there has been a divide between paleoconservatives primarily interested in immigration and those primarily interested in foreign policy.
Foreign policy, even more than the Federal Reserve, draws people to Paulian forms of conservatism and libertarianism. While non-interventionism has gained a following among a growing number of young people on the right, it has gained little traction among the millions who still identify with the mainstream conservative movement. By contrast, patriotic immigration reform has appealed to rank-and-file Republicans who detest George W. Bush's amnesty proposals but like his wars just fine.
This has left some paleoconservatives feeling uneasy.
"As the immigration-reduction movement has sunk
deeper roots into the conservative movement and begun to
acquire a mass-electoral base, it has also picked up
some of the political style and impulses of the prowar
Right," wrote my old boss
Scott
McConnell in an
American
Conservative review of Mark Krikorian's
The New Case Against Immigration. "Talk-radio hosts who are anti-immigrant are especially anti-Muslim and
noisy enthusiasts for bombing other countries."[Assimilating
to the GOP, September 22, 2008 ]
Many leading voices on the antiwar
right, such as
Justin Raimondo and
American
Conservative publisher Ron Unz,
never agreed with restrictionist arguments on
immigration. Others, like McConnell and Lew Rockwell,
began to find those arguments irrelevant in the context
of the GOP's bellicose foreign policy.
Politically, this split came to a
head during the 2006 midterm elections: Should the paleo
movement support the congressional Republicans who
stopped amnesty for illegal immigrants? Or should it
jettison them because of their near-unanimous support
the war?
As it turned out, the tactical
question didn't matter very much. Amnesty proved too
unpopular to pass even under a Democratic Congress. And
congressional Democrats were too wimpish to do much of
anything about the war, dabbling in nonbinding
resolutions and standing by meekly as George W. Bush
commenced the surge.
But the political question will
come up again. Do paleos support a peace candidate like
Gary Johnson who favors open borders? Or do they back
someone like
Tom Tancredo, who is
a stalwart on immigration but speaks casually of
bombing Mecca?
In the long term, this split is
bad for the Alternative Right. Mass immigration will
frustrate the Paulites' efforts to shrink government by
expanding the welfare state's beneficiaries and swelling
the ranks of big-government voters. Unguarded borders at
home will encourage reckless searches abroad for
monsters to destroy. And romantic attitudinizing about
the glories of immigration will limit the liberty
movement's electoral appeal to the young men who have
always been the best potential audience for
libertarians.
The consequences will be equally
bad for immigration patriots. For one thing, it will tie
them to a GOP Establishment that still has much to learn
about immigration beyond the clichés that "amnesty is bad" and
"illegal immigration is illegal." Republicans
are better at voting down bad ideas than enacting good
ones.
Worse, as McConnell warns,
"By becoming part and parcel of the Republican Right, the
immigration-reform movement risks becoming absorbed by
the Right's jingoism, turning into another means of
expressing American superiority over foreigners, people
to be kept out at home and bombed abroad."
The immigration patriots who don't
become Republican regulars will find themselves tempted
into what I believe is the moral and political dead end
of
white nationalism.
The original paleo blend of anti-statism,
particularism, and belief in a transcendent moral order
avoided dangerous extremes. It abjured both
authoritarianism and libertinism, universalist flim-flam
and bigotry.
The growth of the Ron Paul
movement is an exciting new opportunity. But on some
things, the paleos were
right from the beginning.
W. James Antle III (email him) is associate editor of The American Spectator and a contributing editor of The American Conservative and Young American Revolution.